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College football odds Week 1: Best bets, why you should take the Ducks


By Geoff Schwartz
FOX Sports NFL Analyst

Now that Week 0 is out of the manner and Week 1 of college football is lastly right here, it is time to make some wagers. Bettors, in your marks!

But again to Week 0 for a second. I instructed you there could be some worthwhile motion throughout final weekend’s video games, and I used to be proper. For instance, did you see that NorthwesternNebraska game? Kudos to the Wildcats for protecting and profitable in Ireland. If you thought Week 0’s slate was a enjoyable bunch to wager on, you’re in for a deal with. We have some heavyweight battles proper off the bat, so buckle up.

Let’s leap into my favourite bets for Week 1. I do not assume this will probably be stunning to anybody, however I’ve a choose for the sport between my Oregon Ducks and the defending champion Georgia Bulldogs

Keep studying to search out out what I take into consideration the large Ducks versus Dawgs sport and a few different marquee matchups. And, as common, the odds are courtesy of FOX Bet.

No. 12 Oregon vs No. 3 Georgia (3:30 p.m. ET Saturday, ABC)

11

Oregon Ducks

ORE

3

Georgia Bulldogs

UGA

I’m not right here to persuade you that Georgia is any much less higher than y’all consider, however I’m right here to level out that Oregon has the expertise to maintain this sport shut.

The Georgia Bulldogs are the defending champions, and regardless of dropping half of their once-in-a-generation protection to the NFL Draft, they nonetheless have a number of first-round picks who will begin on Saturday in Atlanta. No. 88 Jalen Carter is best than all three of the Georgia defensive linemen drafted in the first spherical simply final April. Kelee Ringo, the cornerback who intercepted Alabama’s Bryce Young to seal the Bulldogs championship, is close to the prime of draft boards at his place. Plus, Nolan Smith could be a sport wrecker. 

These are just some of the a number of blue chip gamers the Dawgs have on the roster. And this is not information to many, however practically 80% of their roster contains of four- and five-star highschool recruits.

With that being stated, Oregon has sufficient gamers to make this a sport early on. The Ducks have defensive gamers in any respect three ranges who will garner first-round NFL Draft grades. On the defensive position is Brandon Dorlus, at linebacker is preseason All-American Noah Sewell and on the outdoors is Colorado switch, Christian Gonzalez. Linebacker Justin Flowe has not performed a single sport in two years and is on draft watch lists due to his expertise alone.
 
The Georgia offense is constructed round its run sport and tight ends. However, the Dawgs have to switch each working backs, two beginning guards and extensive receiver George Pickens. I consider the Ducks can use their protection to blunt Georgia’s speeding assault, which should power quarterback Stetson Bennett into errors.

Another issue to think about is Oregon’s new head coach Dan Lanning is Georgia’s former defensive coordinator. His information of scrambling reads for Bennett and filling gaps in the run sport will assist the Ducks on this matchup, a minimum of early on.

I can’t take Oregon to cowl the full sport due to their quarterback, Bo Nix. Oregon will run first, play motion cross and try to keep away from errors in the passing sport. But Nix is not reliable, particularly in opposition to an opponent of this caliber. Oregon returns its offensive line, and the roster has younger gamers who can affect the sport instantly. The Ducks even have excellent talent expertise that may run with the Georgia protection. However, let me say this once more: they’ve Nix, who’s mistake-prone. The QB may also be paired with an unproven offensive coordinator in Kenny Dillingham, amplifying Nix’s points in opposition to a crew like UGA.

The following two components are why Oregon can hold it shut in the first half. First, the Ducks have a stout and bodily protection that may confuse Georgia’s offense. Oregon additionally has an offense scripted for fulfillment in the first half. The second half is the place Georgia’s measurement and expertise will pose a difficulty for the Ducks. I’ll seize Oregon first half.

PICK: Oregon +10 first half

Central Michigan @ No. 12 Oklahoma State (7 p.m. ET Thursday, FS1)

Central Michigan Chippewas

CMICH

12

Oklahoma State Cowboys

OKST

Give me the Chippewas to cowl this unfold in Week 1. 

Oklahoma State is a strong crew and can find yourself in the thick of the Big 12 title race, however the Cowboys have a ton of manufacturing to switch from final season. They misplaced their two greatest offensive weapons and 7 defensive starters, together with their 4 main tacklers.

Central Michigan returns their strong quarterback and MAC Offensive Player of the Year in working again Lew Nichols. They additionally return a cross rush ranked twenty fifth in sack charge and a protection ranked first in faculty football in tackles for a loss.

It’s additionally value noting that Oklahoma State has struggled to start out the season in these video games in opposition to lesser foes. The Cowboys had a seven-point win in opposition to Missouri State final season, a nine-point win in opposition to Tulsa in 2020 and a loss to this Central Michigan crew in 2016. 

PICK: Central Michigan (+22 at FOX Bet) to lose by fewer than 22 points (or win outright)

UTEP @ No. 9 Oklahoma (3:30 p.m. ET Saturday, FOX)

UTEP Miners

UTEP

9

Oklahoma Sooners

OU

The most secure play on this sport is taking the Miners plus the giant quantity and hoping they will do sufficient to cowl. Also, Oklahoma has didn’t cowl these massive spreads over the years.

I’m larger on Oklahoma than most as a result of they’ve a gifted roster, even with a brand new teaching employees. The Sooners have a brand new employees that incorporates a first-time head coach, a brand new quarterback, a brand new play caller and new gamers throughout the roster after the switch portal defections. Oklahoma may begin slower on this sport than anticipated as a result of groups take time to come back collectively. However, as soon as they get moving into the season, be careful.

I’ll seize the factors and take benefit of OU’s gradual begin.

PICK: UTEP (+31 at FOX Bet) to lose by fewer than 31 points (or win outright)

Illinois State @ No. 18 Wisconsin (7 p.m. ET Saturday, FS1)

I’m going with the Badgers right here as they are going to management the line of scrimmage all sport lengthy. Look for them to tack on late touchdowns to cowl the 33-point unfold.

Wisconsin has the most unheralded working again in the nation with Braelon Allen. As a 17-year-old true freshman, he rushed for 1,286 yards on 186 carries, good for a whopping 6.8 yards per try.

Wisconsin’s protection completed final season ranked second in effectivity, which implies Illinois State received’t have the ability to transfer the ball in any respect this sport.

The Badgers are extra gifted and far larger in the trenches and can run away with this sport. 

PICK: Wisconsin (-33 at FOX Bet) to win by more than 33 points

Geoff Schwartz performed eight seasons in the NFL for 5 completely different groups. He began at proper deal with for the University of Oregon for 3 seasons and was a second-team All-Pac-12 choice his senior 12 months. He is an NFL analyst for FOX Sports. Follow him on Twitter @GeoffSchwartz.

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