College football odds: Ohio State huge title liability, betting nuggets
By Patrick Everson FOX Sports Gambling Writer
College football betting bought what I’d name a mushy launch a number of days in the past for Week 0. A handful of video games, none actually juicy, save for probably Nebraska-Northwestern taking part in throughout the pond in Dublin, Ireland. But now it’s time for full liftoff!
The hefty Week 1 schedule contains all the large colleges that can dominate school football odds conversations all season lengthy.
In speaking with a number of oddsmakers, the next are a landing’s price of intriguing school football betting nuggets for the 2022-23 season.
Yes, Alabama is as soon as once more the favourite within the College Football Playoff championship odds market. And, after all, defending nationwide champion Georgia is excessive up on the betting boards, too, because the consensus third selection.
But between these two lies an enormous hassle spot for BetMGM: The Ohio State University.
Many months in the past, Ohio State opened +600. The Buckeyes took a $10,000 wager at that value, with that buyer a possible payout of $60,000. And though 6-1 odds aren’t an extended shot, that bettor bought good worth in contrast with the place Ohio State stands now.
The Buckeyes enter Week 1 at +320 to win the nationwide championship. That trails solely Alabama’s +190 value and places Ohio State simply forward of Georgia (+350) at BetMGM.
Further, the Buckeyes are tied with Alabama for probably the most nationwide championship tickets, and Ohio State has drawn the second-most cash, barely trailing ‘Bama. Ohio State is now BetMGM’s largest legal responsibility.
Oh, and star quarterback C.J. Stroud is getting huge play within the Heisman Trophy odds market, too.
“C.J. Stroud for the Heisman and Ohio State to win the nationwide championship is the present nightmare outcome for BetMGM,” stated Jason Scott, vp of buying and selling for BetMGM.
That stated, Scott and his danger workforce are OK with the championship legal responsibility. Needing the SEC shouldn’t be a foul factor in terms of school football championship futures, you recognize!
“We are comfortable to be with the SEC colleges come January, and we’re content material with a big destructive quantity towards the Buckeyes,” Scott stated.
Southern Cal has seen a resurgence in betting curiosity. And that has a number of sportsbooks — PointsBet USA, BetMGM, The SuperBook and extra — sweating it out within the school football championship odds market.
“USC is a workforce seeing a ton of public motion within the futures market,” SuperBook senior danger supervisor Casey Degnon stated. “We opened the Trojans at 30/1 in January and at the moment are at 25/1, with lots of legal responsibility. USC brings in new head coach Lincoln Riley and a ton of transfers, so I can perceive the general public love for the Trojans.
“It’s protected to say we won’t be rooting for USC to make it to the College Football Playoff.”
At BetMGM, one buyer bought in comparatively early with a $2,000 wager on USC +3500. That represents a possible $70,000 win, ought to the Trojans have a banner season. USC’s present odds at BetMGM: +2000.
Vanderbilt is often an afterthought yearly, and the outcomes usually show why. Expectations aren’t excessive for the Commodores this season both. Most sportsbooks have set Vandy’s win complete at 2 or 2.5.
But taking part in — and successful huge — in Week 0 makes it much more seemingly that Vanderbilt will get there. The Commodores went to Hawaii and pounded the Rainbow Warriors 63-10. In Week 2, Vandy returns residence Saturday to face FCS opponent Elon, and the Commodores are 20-point favorites at WynnBet — which simply so occurred to have Vanderbilt’s season win complete at a tidy 2.
WynnBet reported that one buyer within the sportsbook operator’s Tennessee market put $4,000 on Vanderbilt Over 2 Wins at -150. By this weekend, that buyer is virtually assured a push which implies the wager can’t lose. Worst-case state of affairs, the bettor will get the $4,000 again. Unless, after all, Vandy pulls a Vandy.
But supplied the Commodores do what’s anticipated, all that bettor will want is for Vanderbilt to go 1-9 in its final 10 video games. That’ll deliver a pleasant revenue of $2,666.67.
Oh Say Can You ACC
Clemson is the strong favourite in odds to win the ACC championship. No shock there, for a workforce that commonly makes reservations within the College Football Playoff, final season however.
The Tigers are -120 at The SuperBook, with Miami a distant second at +500, then North Carolina State at +650. But there’s been some shocking motion within the ACC market.
“Louisville has nearly double the cash wagered on it to win the ACC than another workforce,” Degnon stated. “We opened the Cardinals at +6000, and since then, our odds have been reduce in half to +3000. It’s somewhat shocking to me, given the truth that Clemson and Miami are normally the favored groups among the many public.”
Louisville remains to be nicely again of the favorites, although, because the ACC’s co-sixth selection with Florida State.
Grin and Bear It
Baylor had a strong 2021-22 marketing campaign, going 10-2 within the common season, then beating Oklahoma State within the Big 12 title recreation. Some observers believed the Bears deserved consideration for the College Football Playoff, regardless of two losses. Baylor needed to accept a bid to the Sugar Bowl, the place it topped Mississippi 21-7.
This season, oddsmakers count on Baylor to again up. But bettors stay bullish on the Bears, a minimum of in a single betting market.
“One win complete that has seen one-way visitors is the Baylor Bears Over,” Degnon stated. “We opened them at 7.5 (Over -130) in July, and now, we’re at 8 (Over +100). That will likely be certainly one of our greater selections [in the win total market], so we hope Baylor sees some regression from their spectacular 2021 marketing campaign.”
In Week 1, on Saturday afternoon, No. 11 Oregon faces defending nationwide champion and third-ranked Georgia. At least the Ducks gained’t should play between the hedges on the Bulldogs’ residence subject in Athens, Ga. However, the so-called impartial website isn’t a lot better: Atlanta’s Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
That’s solely about 90 minutes from Georgia’s campus. But Oregon — a 17-point underdog at The SuperBook — is getting some takers, and never simply on the purpose unfold.
“We just lately took a five-figure wager on Oregon moneyline at +600, which places us able to wish the Dawgs outright,” Degnon stated. “Georgia is tied to a bunch of parlays, however there are extra straight bets on the Ducks to cowl the unfold.”
A Little Luck
Currently, The SuperBook may additionally use some Week 1 luck from the Irish. Fifth-ranked Notre Dame opens its season Saturday evening in very hostile territory, within the Horseshoe towards No. 2 Ohio State. And Notre Dame is a hefty 17-point highway underdog.
“As we stand proper now,” Degnon stated Thursday, “we’re going to want the Fighting Irish to cowl the quantity. More tickets and extra money wagered on Ohio State to this point. But the weekend is younger, and I’m positive we’ll see some public assist for Notre Dame sooner or later.”
Other Notable Nuggets
It’s all the time attention-grabbing to see among the flier bets that land at sportsbooks across the nation. Here are a number of such wagers taken at BetMGM:
$500 on North Carolina State to win the nationwide title, at 150-1 odds. That ticket might be little greater than a drink coaster, with just about no likelihood of paying off. But if it by some means does, the win could be $75,000.
$100 on UTEP — sure, UTEP — to win the nationwide title, at 1000-1 odds. Would win $100,000, in an alternate universe.
$650 on Michigan quarterback Cade McNamara to win the Heisman Trophy, at 200-1 odds. Winning wager would internet $130,000
A few SEC championship odds fliers: $1,000 on Ole Miss +6600, to win $66,000; and $1,000 on Tennessee +5000, to win $50,000.
Finally, a really devoted Kansas bettor dropped $10,000 on the Jayhawks Over 2.5 wins, at -135. A win would internet about $7,400.
Patrick Everson is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He beforehand labored for Covers and is a distinguished journalist within the nationwide sports activities betting area. He’s primarily based in Las Vegas, the place he enjoys {golfing} in 110-degree warmth. Follow him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas.
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